So with the greatest golf tournament of all on-going (the Ryder Cup, of course), TOSTM has chosen today to look back at some of those who have made noticable moves either up or down the table from the early weeks.
Let's start with the table as it stands after eight rounds of matches:
|Position||Team||Played||Won||Drawn||Lost||Goals For||Goals Against||Goal Difference||Points|
The most noticable mover is probably Leeds United. After a horror start to the season which I wrote about in week four and which earned Dave Hockaday the sack, all is now well and rosy at Elland Road with Leeds safely out of danger in mid-table and no hint of problems on the pitch.
And just two points off a play-off place the team really has a shot at going for promotion too.
Not so fast.
Back in week four Leeds had a 31.4% share of all shots (Corsi/TSR). After week eight Leeds has.... 33.7% of all shots.
So what explains the massive rise up the table?
Well the majority of it can be put down to our good old friend PDO. In week four Leeds had a way below average PDO of 71.66. After week eight that's now a bouyant 114.06.
However, we know PDO is not really sustainable over the long term so there's some warning signs there, particularly with the shot share not significantly improving.
There is one encouraging sign: in week five (the first time I have these figures for) Leeds had 30.3% of the shots on target - pretty close to its all shots share.
In week eight, that number has increased to 40.4%.
Whether that number is sustainable without a reciprocal improvement in all shots I'm not sure.
But I would not be counting any chickens just yet, Leeds fans.
Also, once again, poor Dave Hockaday. Given another couple of weeks this PDO bounce could have been his and he'd still be in gainful employment having "riden out the storm".
but still, if these underlying numbers don't change much I suspect this might be the high water mark for Leeds this season.
|Position||Team||Shots for total||Shots against total||Corsi/TSR|
Reading and Ipswich
I mentioned Reading last week, so will avoid going into too much detail about the Royals. But Ipswich's season has prgressed very similarly to Reading's so far.
Four weeks in the clubs were tied on four points well in the lower half of the table.
Now Ipswich is joint seventh on 14 points with Reading tied for eleventh on 13 points.
Both teams have seen their shot share fall, but their PDO rise from below 100 to well over it.
In fact, Ipswich now has less than half the shots in each game on average, with Reading seemingly slipping further away from parity each week.
However the shots on target share is a far happier one for Ipswich than Reading.
If forced to, I know which team I'd be putting some money on to retain its position throughout the season.
|Position||Team||shots on target for total||shots on target against total||Shots on target share|
In week six I singled out Brighton and Middlesbrough as teams to watch to move up the table when their PDO scores regressed from subterranean levels, as the underlying numbers were pretty good.
Well, we're still waiting for the Brighton bounce, but Middlesbrough duly obliged over the next two games and are now sitting pretty in fifth place, still with top class shot share numbers.
Which means trouble for those teams around them.
|Position||Team||Shooting % For||Save %||PDO|
We also have a new most cursed team.
Yes the Terriers have taken over from Blackpool and Fulham.
True they haven't moved that much in the table, largely because their luck has just got worse.
With a PDO of 73.62 they are just having a norredous time at the moment, despite being a positive shot share team.
Of course some of that may be down ot score effects, but you would have to think it will turn around at some point.
Only Blackpool has a worse scoring rate and Fulham a worse save figure.
|Position||Team||Corsi/TSR||PDO||Shots on target share|
Cardiff has been one of the other big movers so far in this early season.
But I've covered the ups and (mostly) downs quite a bit here, so I'll leave that for the rest of the day.
As ever, play around with the tables and see what other trends you can spot.
Comments and suggestions always welcome and when life calms down I've got a couple of extra posts to hopefully put up too.