Championship Week 12: Watford on top, Birmingham sack Clark... finally

Just a quick post today with the next round of games coming up tonight.
First up, leaving the stats to one side, this Championship season is starting to have the look of a bit of a corker about it.
No team has managed to pull away at the top of the table and just nine points separate first and seventeenth - that's just three wins.
Yes for a season that's 12 games old that's a decent number of wins, but with another 34 games still to play, that means basically three-quarters of the division are still in with a shout of promotion.

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Watford	12	7	3	2	23	12	11	24
2	Derby	12	6	5	1	22	10	12	23
3	Middlesbrough	12	7	2	3	18	9	9	23
4	Norwich	12	6	3	3	21	11	10	21
5	Nott'm Forest	12	5	6	1	20	11	9	21
6	Ipswich	12	5	5	2	17	11	6	20
7	Wolves	12	5	5	2	17	14	3	20
8	Charlton	12	4	7	1	14	11	3	19
9	Bournemouth	12	5	3	4	17	14	3	18
10	Brentford	12	5	3	4	15	16	-1	18
11	Sheffield Weds	12	4	5	3	11	11	0	17
12	Cardiff	12	4	4	4	15	15	0	16
13	Blackburn	12	4	4	4	17	19	-2	16
14	Leeds	12	4	3	5	12	15	-3	15
15	Rotherham	12	4	3	5	11	14	-3	15
16	Reading	12	4	3	5	15	20	-5	15
17	Huddersfield	12	4	3	5	16	22	-6	15
18	Millwall	12	3	4	5	13	16	-3	13
19	Wigan	12	2	5	5	12	14	-2	11
20	Brighton	12	2	5	5	11	14	-3	11
21	Birmingham	12	2	5	5	12	19	-7	11
22	Fulham	12	3	1	8	13	22	-9	10
23	Bolton	12	2	2	8	9	21	-12	8
24	Blackpool	12	1	3	8	8	18	-10	6

Sure that's probably a pretty fanciful suggestion for many clubs, but all it takes is a run of pretty good luck over ten games or so and a team can shoot up the table. From there, anything, as they say, is posisble.
We've seen in the NHL (primary submission the Toronto Maple Leafs) that a 48 game season can still mean outlying teams achieve positive results thanks to PDO.
Even a 60-ish game season still leaves room for luck to factor in - it wasn't until around the 65 game mark last season (the NHL plays 82 games) that the wheels finally fell off for the Leafs and their poor possession numbers kicked-in.

So Watford and Derby's simultaneous 3-0 away wins, coupled with Norwich and Nottingham Forest's one-goal away defeats rearranges the top of the table significantly - as did Middlesbrough's 2-1 win down at Brighton (poor Brighton).
I've been bigging up Middlesbrough for a while now and I'm quite pleased to see them coming through. Anyone dominating games the way they are deserves to be rewarded (again, poor Brighton).
And at the other end, Birmingham's 1-0 home defeat by fellow strugglers Bolton finally sealed Lee Clark's fate.

Position	Team	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR
1	Watford	165	193	0.461
2	Derby	168	156	0.519
3	Middlesbrough	195	111	0.637
4	Norwich	220	128	0.632
5	Nott'm Forest	158	147	0.518
6	Ipswich	165	177	0.482
7	Wolves	175	147	0.543
8	Charlton	107	181	0.372
9	Bournemouth	174	151	0.535
10	Brentford	153	171	0.472
11	Sheffield Weds	164	139	0.541
12	Cardiff	137	188	0.422
13	Blackburn	186	170	0.522
14	Leeds	120	195	0.381
15	Rotherham	177	174	0.504
16	Reading	145	162	0.472
17	Huddersfield	177	171	0.509
18	Millwall	174	145	0.546
19	Wigan	143	139	0.507
20	Brighton	203	124	0.621
21	Birmingham	160	186	0.462
22	Fulham	151	149	0.503
23	Bolton	146	205	0.416
24	Blackpool	133	187	0.416

As we can see from the shot share table (Corsi/TSR) Birmingham's rate is pretty poor - seventh worst at 46.2% of all shots taken per game - although it is actually on a par with Watford (46.1%).
However the real problem comes when you look at shots on target share - something which is arguyably a greater measure of player and team skill. Here Birmingham really struggle, getting just 41.7% of shots on target - fifth worst in the league.

Add in that this Corsi/TSR score is basically the same as last year (45%) and you can see why the Blues owners had enough. As ever though - the sacking was really prompted by a dip in PDO. All was well in the early season when Birmingham had a PDO 106 four weeks in.
That dipped and rebounded a little, but now having dipped again Clark suffered.
It's clear the situation behind the scenes is not great at Birmingham - whether a new manager will be able to get anymore out of what seems to be a squad low in skill will have to be seen.

Position	Team	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share
1	Watford	58	55	0.513
2	Derby	60	56	0.517
3	Middlesbrough	54	30	0.643
4	Norwich	64	44	0.592
5	Nott'm Forest	49	48	0.505
6	Ipswich	56	50	0.528
7	Wolves	51	44	0.537
8	Charlton	37	49	0.43
9	Bournemouth	61	47	0.565
10	Brentford	58	57	0.504
11	Sheffield Weds	43	41	0.512
12	Cardiff	44	45	0.494
13	Blackburn	64	59	0.52
14	Leeds	35	62	0.361
15	Rotherham	56	50	0.528
16	Reading	44	50	0.468
17	Huddersfield	63	57	0.525
18	Millwall	54	44	0.551
19	Wigan	33	52	0.388
20	Brighton	53	33	0.616
21	Birmingham	43	60	0.417
22	Fulham	49	50	0.495
23	Bolton	44	72	0.379
24	Blackpool	38	56	0.404

Speaking of PDO (luck), Derby and Watford are now first and third in that measure respectively.
Watford's shot share score is deceiving - the team played large portions of two games (almost a tenth of the season so far, I'd guess) with only ten men on the pitch, and have also been victimised by score effects considerably - see the Sheffield Wednesday victory last weekend.
More realistic is probably the Hornets shots on target share of 51.3%. Again that's not great, but anything above parity is always a welcome place to be.

Position	Team	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
1	Watford	39.66	78.18	117.84
2	Derby	36.67	82.14	118.82
3	Middlesbrough	33.34	70	103.34
4	Norwich	32.82	75.01	107.83
5	Nott'm Forest	40.81	77.08	117.89
6	Ipswich	30.36	78	108.36
7	Wolves	33.34	68.18	101.52
8	Charlton	37.82	77.54	115.37
9	Bournemouth	27.87	70.21	98.08
10	Brentford	25.86	71.93	97.79
11	Sheffield Weds	25.57	73.17	98.74
12	Cardiff	34.08	66.68	100.76
13	Blackburn	26.56	67.81	94.37
14	Leeds	34.28	75.8	110.08
15	Rotherham	19.64	72	91.65
16	Reading	34.11	59.99	94.1
17	Huddersfield	25.4	61.4	86.8
18	Millwall	24.08	63.62	87.7
19	Wigan	36.35	73.07	109.42
20	Brighton	20.75	57.56	78.31
21	Birmingham	27.91	68.34	96.24
22	Fulham	26.54	56.02	82.55
23	Bolton	20.45	70.83	91.27
24	Blackpool	21.06	67.85	88.91

Tonight's games include a couple of crackers - at least on paper.
Watford v Forest and Wolves v Middlesbrough should be very good attacking games. Well worth watching if you're not being distracted by the Champions League.

Position	Team	Corsi/TSR	Shots on target share	PDO
1	Watford	0.461	0.513	117.84
2	Derby	0.519	0.517	118.82
3	Middlesbrough	0.637	0.643	103.34
4	Norwich	0.632	0.592	107.83
5	Nott'm Forest	0.518	0.505	117.89
6	Ipswich	0.482	0.528	108.36
7	Wolves	0.543	0.537	101.52
8	Charlton	0.372	0.43	115.37
9	Bournemouth	0.535	0.565	98.08
10	Brentford	0.472	0.504	97.79
11	Sheffield Weds	0.541	0.512	98.74
12	Cardiff	0.422	0.494	100.76
13	Blackburn	0.522	0.52	94.37
14	Leeds	0.381	0.361	110.08
15	Rotherham	0.504	0.528	91.65
16	Reading	0.472	0.468	94.1
17	Huddersfield	0.509	0.525	86.8
18	Millwall	0.546	0.551	87.7
19	Wigan	0.507	0.388	109.42
20	Brighton	0.621	0.616	78.31
21	Birmingham	0.462	0.417	96.24
22	Fulham	0.503	0.495	82.55
23	Bolton	0.416	0.379	91.27
24	Blackpool	0.416	0.404	88.91

Exciting news

Well, I think it is.
I've stumbled across a new data source so this blog is hopefully going to be getting better... well bigger, and of course bigger is *always* better.
More next time when I have time to address it.

Championship Week 11: The quarter mile post

So having played 11 games and reached its second international break the Championship season is now basically a quarter of the way through.
So it seems an appropriate time to start looking at some of the league-wide trends and some new graphs for me.

First up, as always, is the real life table after those 11 matches.

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Norwich	11	6	3	2	21	10	11	21
2	Nott'm Forest	11	5	6	0	19	9	10	21
3	Watford	11	6	3	2	20	12	8	21
4	Derby	11	5	5	1	19	10	9	20
5	Middlesbrough	11	6	2	3	16	8	8	20
6	Ipswich	11	5	4	2	16	10	6	19
7	Charlton	11	4	7	0	14	10	4	19
8	Wolves	11	5	4	2	14	11	3	19
9	Sheffield Weds	11	4	5	2	11	8	3	17
10	Brentford	11	5	2	4	15	16	-1	17
11	Bournemouth	11	4	3	4	16	14	2	15
12	Blackburn	11	4	3	4	16	18	-2	15
13	Reading	11	4	3	4	15	17	-2	15
14	Leeds	11	4	3	4	11	13	-2	15
15	Cardiff	11	3	4	4	13	14	-1	13
16	Millwall	11	3	3	5	10	13	-3	12
17	Rotherham	11	3	3	5	9	13	-4	12
18	Huddersfield	11	3	3	5	12	20	-8	12
19	Brighton	11	2	5	4	10	12	-2	11
20	Birmingham	11	2	5	4	12	18	-6	11
21	Wigan	11	2	4	5	12	14	-2	10
22	Fulham	11	2	1	8	12	22	-10	7
23	Blackpool	11	1	3	7	6	14	-8	6
24	Bolton	11	1	2	8	8	21	-13	5

Norwich are sitting nicely top of the tree and their underlying stats back up that position very nicely indeed.
At the bottom we have Bolton and Blackpool, both with some horrible numbers but also, as we’ve been seeing, affected by awful luck (PDO) as well.
Fulham’s recent run of form has is genuinely deserved and were it not for having the second worst PDO score in the league the west London side would be very comfortably in mid-table.

I think it’d be quite nice to see what forces are driving the bus in terms of teams overall performance so far. Being a quarter of the way in to a seas you would hope that we are starting to see some performance (as opposed to luck) –based trends developing. But its still only 11 games in – by scientific principles still quite a small sample size.
So first thing I’m going to do is compare league points accumulated so far against shot share (Corsi/TSR).

What we’re looking for is an R2 value close to 1 (a complete positive correlation) or -1 ( a completely negative correlation). Anything around 0 means, well, its worth about 0.



As you can see, there’s barely any link at all between how teams are controlling play in general and how many points they have accumulated. An R2 value of basically 0.1 is pretty weak to say the least.

So let’s try doing the same only using shots on target share instead.




This looks a bit more encouraging, although it really isn’t strong enough to say that this measure has a massive baring on the results teams are seeing so far.

In that case, let’s have a look at PDO vs points won.





Well helllloooooo!
Compared to the other two that is pretty damn high.
Again it’s not a perfect match, but what it serves to show us is that at the moment points won and hence league position are still being dominated by luck factors.
Hopefully, as we follow the season through, this score will reduce and the shot share and sots on target share will increase. (Hopefully!)

So if we do see a regression back to the mean (of 100) of PDO scores, how can we expect the season to play out if teams keep performing as they are?
Well, being as it has a slightly stronger link to points at the moment, lets look at shots on target share vs PDO to see where our teams are.





The top two (Norwich and Forest) are green coloured dots, the four play-off teams are yellow, the three in the relegation zone are red, and the rest are blue.

There are a couple of very noticeable points that are due some regression one way or another.
First is the very top one – Forest.
With a very average share of the shots on target and a sky high PDO, Forest seem due for a fall down the league when the luck runs out.
Already we’re seeing some disquiet among Forest fans as the club has hit a dry spell in front of goal. It could get much worse for the early leaders.

In an opposite position is Brighton.
Having a great share of the shots on target but rotten luck, it’s just a question of how long Sami Hyypia can remain in charge at the Amex to benefit from the regression.
Once that kicks in, assuming these good underlying numbers are not purely due to score effects (or some horrible tactical inefficiency at one end or the other), the Seagulls could well race up the table.
And if they’re not too far off by then, even make a challenge for the playoffs or promotion.

In the left side of the graph we have the teams that are struggling.
As I mentioned earlier, despite the recent upturn in results Fulham are still being hit by brutal luck. Once that begins to reverse the west London side should be fine.

Looking on the good luck side of the x-axis, the two teams most in danger of joining Bolton and Blackpool are Leeds and Wigan.
Remarkably similar underlying numbers but Leeds managed to scrape a few more points together.
A sharp turnaround is needed in performance or this pair is going to find themselves sucked into a relegation battle shortly.

And teetering on the precipice is Birmingham.
Getting just 40% of the shots on target with a dead even PDO score (the only team in the league to do so), it’s safe to say that the Blues are right where they deserve to be.
It’s a relegation fight that could go right down to the wire again for them.


Too hot

There are a few fascinating games (statistically speaking) this weekend in the Championship.
Number one for me is down at the Amex where Brighton and Middlesbrough face-off.
Two teams that love controlling possession and a few weeks ago were both suffering the pain of harsh PDO.
Middlesbrough has since recovered, when will Brighton?
That should be a good one.


Too cold




Then comes the match at St Andrews and two teams with the opposite problem – neither one can control a game if its life depended on it.
This could be interesting for other reasons. Along with the obvious impact at the bottom of the table, it’s Neil Lennon’s first game in charge for Bolton.
Will Wanderers be lifted by this? Will Lennon’s tactics bring an improved performance?
And will Birmingham get sucked in to the relegation mire?
Of course a win for Birmingham brings them some much needed breathing space and would be a real blow to Bolton.
And surely someone has to get a shot on target!


Just right

Finally from my highlight trio is Cardiff vs Forest.
Looking at the table this seems a real mis-match, but going by shots on target share, this could be a very close game.
Both teams are basically at 50% of the shots on target share each game.
Forest have by far the stronger overall shot share (Corsi/TSR) numbers, but there’s very little difference when it comes to getting shots on goal.
And this of course will be Russell Slade’s first game in charge at the CCS – taking over after a particularly listless performance at Blackpool.
Does Forest’s PDO regression start in south Wales?



Dear Bill,

As an aside (or maybe rant is better), I’ve not done any graphs and charts work on Excel in a long time… like more than a decade ago when doing my degree, so this post has involved a lot of re-familiarising myself with that.
Or in fact, re-learning. Because Microsoft seems to have taken what was a relatively simple process in those earlier versions of Excel, and twisted it to become ridiculously complicated instead.
This to me feels like the sort of thing you have to intend to do, to make it that awkward. But still, I guess you learn something new everyday!

Championship Week 10: Another one bites the dust

So big news of the week was Dougie Freedman finally leaving Bolton by one means or another.
I warned way back in week four that the early signs were not good for Wanderers and the early season form has continued along that path since.
I suspect the defeat to relegation rivals Fulham was the final nail in a coffin that was already close to being shut.
That it was of such a massive scale just added the final exclamation point.
Let's have a look at where they were in the table after the midweek games:

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Norwich	10	6	2	2	20	9	11	20
2	Nott'm Forest	10	5	5	0	17	7	10	20
3	Watford	10	6	2	2	19	11	8	20
4	Derby	10	5	4	1	19	10	9	19
5	Ipswich	10	5	3	2	14	8	6	18
6	Charlton	10	4	6	0	13	9	4	18
7	Wolves	10	5	3	2	12	9	3	18
8	Middlesbrough	10	5	2	3	14	8	6	17
9	Sheffield Weds	10	4	4	2	10	7	3	16
10	Reading	10	4	3	3	14	14	0	15
11	Blackburn	10	4	2	4	16	18	-2	14
12	Leeds	10	4	2	4	10	12	-2	14
13	Brentford	10	4	2	4	12	15	-3	14
14	Cardiff	10	3	4	3	13	13	0	13
15	Bournemouth	10	3	3	4	14	13	1	12
16	Millwall	10	3	2	5	10	13	-3	11
17	Rotherham	10	3	2	5	8	12	-4	11
18	Huddersfield	10	3	2	5	12	20	-8	11
19	Brighton	10	2	4	4	9	11	-2	10
20	Birmingham	10	2	4	4	11	17	-6	10
21	Wigan	10	2	3	5	10	12	-2	9
22	Fulham	10	2	1	7	12	20	-8	7
23	Bolton	10	1	2	7	7	19	-12	5
24	Blackpool	10	0	3	7	5	14	-9	3

Bolton’s underlying numbers have been poor all year.
By the end of Freedman’s reign Bolton owned the fourth worst shot share in the league (40.6%) and was dead last in terms of shots on target share (35.8%).
That’s pretty grim reading (and watching) for any fan.

And last year was not much better either.
The Trotters had the eighth worst shot share in the 2013/14 season. Although the Corsi/TSR score was just below even, two of the teams below Bolton were the epically bad Yeovil and Doncaster.
Only the shots on target share showed a sliver of respectability – eleventh in the league with 51.8% of the on target shots each game.
Sure this season PDO has bitten a bit, a score of 89.44 showing that Bolton has been burned by some bad luck, but the other numbers just are not good enough.

Position	Team	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR
1	Norwich	183	113	0.618
2	Nott'm Forest	129	125	0.508
3	Watford	144	162	0.471
4	Derby	147	129	0.533
5	Ipswich	140	149	0.484
6	Charlton	92	146	0.387
7	Wolves	148	121	0.55
8	Middlesbrough	170	87	0.661
9	Sheffield Weds	137	120	0.533
10	Reading	111	139	0.444
11	Blackburn	157	142	0.525
12	Leeds	95	167	0.363
13	Brentford	129	145	0.471
14	Cardiff	106	166	0.39
15	Bournemouth	141	130	0.52
16	Millwall	147	126	0.538
17	Rotherham	154	132	0.538
18	Huddersfield	147	142	0.509
19	Brighton	173	101	0.631
20	Birmingham	130	167	0.438
21	Wigan	125	109	0.534
22	Fulham	133	125	0.516
23	Bolton	121	177	0.406
24	Blackpool	112	151	0.426

Some of the reasons for that?
Looking at shot location - Bolton is joint third worst with just 3% of its shots being taken from within the six-yard box.
And the team is also among the top six for shots allowed from within the six-yard box (7%).


So when you're not taking many shots to begin with you need to get maximum value for them and Bolton were not.
Combine that with allowing lots of shots and those being from more dangerous areas - it gets ugly pretty quickly.

All these stats just build the case that Bolton’s position under Freedman was a pretty accurate one and his position was increasingly untenable.

Position	Team	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share
1	Norwich	57	38	0.6
2	Nott'm Forest	39	38	0.506
3	Watford	49	49	0.5
4	Derby	54	48	0.529
5	Ipswich	45	42	0.517
6	Charlton	31	41	0.431
7	Wolves	38	36	0.514
8	Middlesbrough	46	25	0.648
9	Sheffield Weds	36	31	0.537
10	Reading	33	39	0.458
11	Blackburn	56	52	0.519
12	Leeds	27	48	0.36
13	Brentford	48	49	0.495
14	Cardiff	37	38	0.493
15	Bournemouth	50	37	0.575
16	Millwall	47	37	0.559
17	Rotherham	42	40	0.512
18	Huddersfield	51	48	0.515
19	Brighton	48	27	0.64
20	Birmingham	35	54	0.393
21	Wigan	27	41	0.397
22	Fulham	44	44	0.5
23	Bolton	34	61	0.358
24	Blackpool	32	43	0.427

Fulham's Regression

What a difference three weeks makes – and more importantly, a change in luck.

Following Fulham’s 4-0 win over Bolton in midweek I tweeted that this was what PDO regression looked like in one go…

This is Fulham's PDO rebounding in one-go... the reverse of #AVFC if you li.. http://t.co/vDjczEYb4m @Squawka pic.twitter.com/kWI4j6Llwp
— Owain Thomas (@Owain_Thomas) October 1, 2014

....well not quite, but it’s getting there.
(As an aside I should mention that Bolton managed just eight shots in that game and none were on target.)

Position	Team	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
1	Norwich	35.08	76.32	111.4
2	Nott'm Forest	43.59	81.58	125.17
3	Watford	38.77	77.55	116.33
4	Derby	35.19	79.17	114.36
5	Ipswich	31.11	80.95	112.07
6	Charlton	41.93	78.05	119.98
7	Wolves	31.57	75	106.57
8	Middlesbrough	30.43	68	98.44
9	Sheffield Weds	27.78	77.42	105.19
10	Reading	42.42	64.11	106.53
11	Blackburn	28.57	65.38	93.96
12	Leeds	37.04	75	112.04
13	Brentford	25	69.38	94.38
14	Cardiff	35.13	65.79	100.92
15	Bournemouth	28	64.86	92.86
16	Millwall	21.28	64.87	86.15
17	Rotherham	19.05	70	89.05
18	Huddersfield	23.53	58.33	81.86
19	Brighton	18.75	59.26	78
20	Birmingham	31.43	68.52	99.96
21	Wigan	37.04	70.73	107.77
22	Fulham	27.27	54.55	81.82
23	Bolton	20.59	68.85	89.44
24	Blackpool	15.63	67.45	83.07

I’ve been suggesting all along that Fulham’s underlying numbers were not too bad – they were not fabulous, but certainly not bottom of the table level.
After week seven Fulham were basically dead even in shot share (50.3% Corsi/TSR – 13th in the league), had a 42.9% shots on target share (sixth worst in the league), and PDO (luck) score of just 72.2 (dead last) dragging them down.
That was the trough in terms of Fulham’s PDO score. I mean, it’s pretty hard to get any lower than that: you basically have to TRY to miss the net when taking shots, or at the other end employ me as a goalkeeper.

So Fulham were due a rebound sooner or later, and finally it appears to be coming.
Indeed, following that Bolton win the team's PDO score jumped almost five points – a pretty sizeable shift getting on for a quarter of the way through the season
After week ten, those figures are now: 51.6% shot share, 50% shots on target share and a still pretty anaemic 81.82 PDO score.
So the west London team still has some regressing to do in that regard and if it does it quickly… well it could be fun to watch for the next few games.

A visit to Middlesbrough is up next – arguably the best team in the league that was hit by its own PDO problems earlier in the season but is now right around the average mark.
If the shot numbers hold true than Middlesbrough should win this one reasonably well… but PDO is a mighty strong short-term drug and Fulham seem to be enjoying it again right now.

Position	Team	Corsi/TSR	PDO	Shots on target share
1	Norwich	0.618	111.4	0.6
2	Nott'm Forest	0.508	125.17	0.506
3	Watford	0.471	116.33	0.5
4	Derby	0.533	114.36	0.529
5	Ipswich	0.484	112.07	0.517
6	Charlton	0.387	119.98	0.431
7	Wolves	0.55	106.57	0.514
8	Middlesbrough	0.661	98.44	0.648
9	Sheffield Weds	0.533	105.19	0.537
10	Reading	0.444	106.53	0.458
11	Blackburn	0.525	93.96	0.519
12	Leeds	0.363	112.04	0.36
13	Brentford	0.471	94.38	0.495
14	Cardiff	0.39	100.92	0.493
15	Bournemouth	0.52	92.86	0.575
16	Millwall	0.538	86.15	0.559
17	Rotherham	0.538	89.05	0.512
18	Huddersfield	0.509	81.86	0.515
19	Brighton	0.631	78	0.64
20	Birmingham	0.438	99.96	0.393
21	Wigan	0.534	107.77	0.397
22	Fulham	0.516	81.82	0.5
23	Bolton	0.406	89.44	0.358
24	Blackpool	0.426	83.07	0.427

The Yorkshire derby between Leeds and Sheffield Wednesday should not even be close if the numbers hold up and Leeds are certainly due a slide in PDO - that could be another interesting one to watch.

The games have been coming thick and fast this week so I’m very much looking forward to the international break to catch-up on some other bits and hopefully pop another couple of posts up.
Enjoy the games.