Championship Week 16: Middlesbrough and Bournemouth battle for top; Leeds and Blackpool battle for respectability

Just a quick post before this weekend's games as its been a busy week and I have something else lined-up too.
I wrote about Bournemouth's rise up the table last time round, and I've been big on Middlesbrough since back in week six.
Well, now those two teams will meet on Saturday in what should be a cracking game.

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Bournemouth	16	9	3	4	33	16	17	30
2	Middlesbrough	16	9	3	4	26	12	14	30
3	Watford	16	8	5	3	30	18	12	29
4	Derby	16	8	5	3	28	16	12	29
5	Ipswich	16	7	6	3	24	17	7	27
6	Wolves	16	7	6	3	22	17	5	27
7	Norwich	16	7	5	4	24	17	7	26
8	Blackburn	16	7	5	4	26	23	3	26
9	Brentford	16	7	4	5	21	21	0	25
10	Charlton	16	5	9	2	19	18	1	24
11	Nott'm Forest	16	5	7	4	24	22	2	22
12	Cardiff	16	6	4	6	21	21	0	22
13	Reading	16	6	3	7	22	26	-4	21
14	Sheffield Weds	16	4	8	4	12	14	-2	20
15	Huddersfield	16	5	5	6	24	28	-4	20
16	Millwall	16	4	6	6	17	21	-4	18
17	Leeds	16	4	5	7	17	23	-6	17
18	Rotherham	16	4	5	7	15	24	-9	17
19	Wigan	16	3	7	6	17	19	-2	16
20	Brighton	16	3	7	6	16	19	-3	16
21	Fulham	16	4	4	8	24	30	-6	16
22	Birmingham	16	3	6	7	14	29	-15	15
23	Bolton	16	4	2	10	17	26	-9	14
24	Blackpool	16	1	4	11	10	26	-16	7

Well, now those two teams will meet on Saturday in what should be a cracking game.
The teams are second (Middlesbrough) and fourth (Bournemouth) respectively in the overall shots share (Corsi/TSR) and first and second (again in that order) in shots on target share.
Both teams have been on a bit of a PDO binge recently too - largely caused by above average shooting %.

So if all that continues then we could have an absolute goal-fest up at the Riverside.
I usually try to watch Cardiff games if I can find them, but for once I think I'll leave the Bluebirds adventures alone (it'll likely be messy either way) and settle down for this top of the table meeting.

Position	Team	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR
22	Birmingham	219	275	0.443
8	Blackburn	262	230	0.533
24	Blackpool	175	261	0.401
23	Bolton	209	258	0.447
1	Bournemouth	245	196	0.556
9	Brentford	201	238	0.458
20	Brighton	253	181	0.583
12	Cardiff	187	243	0.435
10	Charlton	160	245	0.395
4	Derby	224	215	0.51
21	Fulham	226	213	0.515
15	Huddersfield	230	233	0.497
5	Ipswich	222	231	0.49
17	Leeds	165	251	0.397
2	Middlesbrough	253	159	0.614
16	Millwall	222	194	0.534
7	Norwich	277	162	0.631
11	Nott'm Forest	226	205	0.524
13	Reading	201	210	0.489
18	Rotherham	223	233	0.489
14	Sheffield Weds	207	194	0.516
3	Watford	225	250	0.474
19	Wigan	207	179	0.536
6	Wolves	245	208	0.541

At the other end of the table that Leeds vs Blackpool game could be horrible.
I rather cursed Blackpool mid-game against Fulham by tweeting at 2-0 up that they still had time to screw it up.
At that exact time of sending, Blackpool captain Tony McMahon got himself sent off - so Seasiders fans, I apologise.
However, the tangerine army are actually, by fancystats reckoning at least, a (very slightly) better team than Leeds.

Position	Team	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share
22	Birmingham	60	95	0.387
8	Blackburn	85	76	0.528
24	Blackpool	51	78	0.395
23	Bolton	66	90	0.423
1	Bournemouth	91	59	0.607
9	Brentford	73	77	0.487
20	Brighton	65	53	0.551
12	Cardiff	61	60	0.504
10	Charlton	49	71	0.408
4	Derby	79	77	0.506
21	Fulham	77	68	0.531
15	Huddersfield	84	80	0.512
5	Ipswich	71	65	0.522
17	Leeds	49	84	0.368
2	Middlesbrough	74	40	0.649
16	Millwall	69	60	0.535
7	Norwich	82	54	0.603
11	Nott'm Forest	68	71	0.489
13	Reading	60	68	0.469
18	Rotherham	72	72	0.5
14	Sheffield Weds	54	57	0.486
3	Watford	81	70	0.536
19	Wigan	58	62	0.483
6	Wolves	72	64	0.529

It just comes down to that horrible PDO.
While the save% is a little below average (66.67% compared to 69.44%) the real killer for Blackpool is a brutal shooting% of just 19.61%.
Now this can be explained by many things, maybe Blackpool's strikers really couldn't hit a cows arse with a banjo, maybe they are taking very low quality shot, perhaps under pressure all the time or from a long way out, perhaps the team is struggling to create comparable opportunities for taking shots, or perhaps everything they're hitting is whizzing just wide or high.
It's tough to say which (maybe all) of these is having the greatest effect, but combine it with getting less than 40% of the shots on target in a typical game and you can see how the struggles mount.
For Leeds the only good thing IS the PDO score.

Position	Team	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
22	Birmingham	23.33	69.48	92.81
8	Blackburn	30.58	69.74	100.33
24	Blackpool	19.61	66.67	86.27
23	Bolton	25.76	71.12	96.88
1	Bournemouth	36.27	72.88	109.15
9	Brentford	28.77	72.73	101.51
20	Brighton	24.62	64.14	88.76
12	Cardiff	34.42	65	99.42
10	Charlton	38.77	74.64	113.41
4	Derby	35.44	79.22	114.66
21	Fulham	31.16	55.87	87.03
15	Huddersfield	28.56	64.99	93.55
5	Ipswich	33.79	73.85	107.64
17	Leeds	34.7	72.63	107.33
2	Middlesbrough	35.14	70.01	105.15
16	Millwall	24.63	65.02	89.65
7	Norwich	29.28	68.53	97.81
11	Nott'm Forest	35.28	69	104.28
13	Reading	36.67	61.78	98.45
18	Rotherham	20.83	66.66	87.49
14	Sheffield Weds	22.22	75.45	97.66
3	Watford	37.04	74.29	111.34
19	Wigan	29.3	69.36	98.67
6	Wolves	30.56	73.44	104

Sitting at 107.33 at the moment, it is the only reason the Yorkshire side have not been rooted to the bottom of the table, because given their shot share numbers, if their PDO had hung anywhere near 90 for long it would be a very ugly situation indeed.
So although Leeds may not realise it, they most certainly are in the middle of a relegation fight at the moment.

Position	Team	Corsi/TSR	Shots on target share	PDO
22	Birmingham	0.443	0.387	92.81
8	Blackburn	0.533	0.528	100.33
24	Blackpool	0.401	0.395	86.27
23	Bolton	0.447	0.423	96.88
1	Bournemouth	0.556	0.607	109.15
9	Brentford	0.458	0.487	101.51
20	Brighton	0.583	0.551	88.76
12	Cardiff	0.435	0.504	99.42
10	Charlton	0.395	0.408	113.41
4	Derby	0.51	0.506	114.66
21	Fulham	0.515	0.531	87.03
15	Huddersfield	0.497	0.512	93.55
5	Ipswich	0.49	0.522	107.64
17	Leeds	0.397	0.368	107.33
2	Middlesbrough	0.614	0.649	105.15
16	Millwall	0.534	0.535	89.65
7	Norwich	0.631	0.603	97.81
11	Nott'm Forest	0.524	0.489	104.28
13	Reading	0.489	0.469	98.45
18	Rotherham	0.489	0.5	87.49
14	Sheffield Weds	0.516	0.486	97.66
3	Watford	0.474	0.536	111.34
19	Wigan	0.536	0.483	98.67
6	Wolves	0.541	0.529	104

Tabling amendments

Finally...I've played around with putting the tables in a different format on the League One, League Two and Conference posts.
Let me know what you think and which version works better - the separate tables here, or the all-in-one style on those.

Conference Week 19

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Barnet	19	13	3	3	43	14	29	42
2	Gateshead	18	9	6	3	30	22	8	33
3	Halifax	18	9	5	4	30	18	12	32
4	Bristol Rvs	18	9	5	4	21	16	5	32
5	Woking	17	9	4	4	30	17	13	31
6	Forest Green	18	8	7	3	25	18	7	31
7	Grimsby	18	8	6	4	32	14	18	30
8	Eastleigh	17	8	5	4	30	24	6	29
9	Kidderminster	18	8	5	5	24	18	6	29
10	Macclesfield	18	7	8	3	21	15	6	29
11	Wrexham	18	8	4	6	22	20	2	28
12	Torquay	17	8	3	6	30	21	9	27
13	Lincoln	18	6	5	7	29	31	-2	23
14	Chester	18	7	2	9	20	30	-10	23
15	Braintree Town	18	6	3	9	20	21	-1	21
16	Aldershot	18	5	6	7	19	21	-2	21
17	Southport	18	5	4	9	19	30	-11	19
18	Welling United	18	4	6	8	23	27	-4	18
19	Dover Athletic	18	5	3	10	20	29	-9	18
20	Altrincham	18	5	3	10	17	34	-17	18
21	Dartford	18	3	7	8	17	27	-10	16
22	Alfreton Town	18	5	1	12	17	36	-19	16
23	Nuneaton Town	18	4	3	11	14	31	-17	15
24	Telford United	18	2	4	12	22	41	-19	10

Position	Team	Played	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
16	Aldershot	18	142	159	0.472	62	67	0.481	30.64	68.65	99.29
22	Alfreton Town	18	133	234	0.362	49	94	0.343	34.69	61.7	96.39
20	Altrincham	18	198	223	0.47	75	84	0.472	22.67	59.53	82.2
1	Barnet	19	236	149	0.613	106	52	0.671	40.57	73.07	113.64
15	Braintree Town	18	172	171	0.502	57	61	0.483	35.07	65.57	100.64
4	Bristol Rvs	18	179	179	0.5	75	65	0.536	28.01	75.37	103.38
14	Chester	18	194	207	0.484	73	85	0.462	27.39	64.7	92.09
21	Dartford	18	133	215	0.382	63	90	0.412	26.98	69.99	96.97
19	Dover Athletic	18	171	163	0.512	59	76	0.437	33.9	61.86	95.77
8	Eastleigh	17	142	128	0.526	67	55	0.549	44.79	56.37	101.16
6	Forest Green	18	170	162	0.512	75	59	0.56	33.35	69.49	102.84
2	Gateshead	18	181	153	0.542	70	59	0.543	42.84	62.71	105.55
7	Grimsby	18	247	169	0.594	106	73	0.592	30.2	80.83	111.02
3	Halifax	18	208	144	0.591	86	56	0.606	34.87	67.86	102.73
9	Kidderminster	18	189	156	0.548	74	62	0.544	32.44	70.98	103.41
13	Lincoln	18	175	212	0.452	72	95	0.431	40.29	67.37	107.66
10	Macclesfield	18	153	184	0.454	59	69	0.461	35.6	78.26	113.85
23	Nuneaton Town	18	143	199	0.418	50	75	0.4	28.01	58.68	86.7
17	Southport	18	165	205	0.446	56	86	0.394	33.92	65.12	99.03
24	Telford United	18	162	196	0.452	62	93	0.4	35.49	55.92	91.4
12	Torquay	17	223	178	0.556	85	71	0.545	35.28	70.42	105.71
18	Welling United	18	151	164	0.479	70	63	0.526	32.85	57.13	89.98
5	Woking	17	204	128	0.614	89	53	0.627	33.71	67.93	101.64
11	Wrexham	18	169	162	0.511	68	65	0.511	32.35	69.23	101.57

League Two Week 16

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Wycombe	16	9	5	2	23	12	11	32
2	Luton	16	9	4	3	19	11	8	31
3	Shrewsbury	16	9	3	4	25	12	13	30
4	Bury	16	9	3	4	26	17	9	30
5	Burton	16	9	2	5	21	20	1	29
6	Plymouth	16	8	3	5	18	9	9	27
7	Southend	16	7	4	5	16	14	2	25
8	Newport County	16	6	6	4	20	16	4	24
9	Portsmouth	16	6	5	5	18	16	2	23
10	Morecambe	16	7	2	7	18	17	1	23
11	Exeter	16	6	5	5	19	19	0	23
12	Accrington	16	7	2	7	24	27	-3	23
13	Cheltenham	16	6	4	6	15	18	-3	22
14	Cambridge	16	6	3	7	26	20	6	21
15	Northampton	16	6	3	7	25	23	2	21
16	Stevenage	16	6	3	7	21	24	-3	21
17	AFC Wimbledon	16	5	5	6	22	25	-3	20
18	Mansfield	16	5	4	7	14	19	-5	19
19	Oxford	16	4	4	8	18	23	-5	16
20	York	16	2	9	5	14	20	-6	15
21	Dag and Red	16	4	3	9	19	27	-8	15
22	Carlisle	16	4	3	9	20	30	-10	15
23	Tranmere	16	2	6	8	15	22	-7	12
24	Hartlepool	16	3	3	10	12	27	-15	12

Position	Team	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
17	AFC Wimbledon	136	169	0.446	53	69	0.434	41.51	63.76	105.27
12	Accrington	166	194	0.461	65	83	0.439	36.9	67.48	104.38
5	Burton	179	143	0.556	76	53	0.589	27.62	62.27	89.9
4	Bury	181	133	0.576	72	48	0.6	36.12	64.57	100.69
14	Cambridge	183	185	0.497	80	60	0.572	32.49	66.66	99.15
22	Carlisle	138	176	0.44	47	67	0.412	42.53	55.23	97.75
13	Cheltenham	177	181	0.494	76	64	0.543	19.74	71.87	91.61
21	Dag and Red	157	230	0.406	60	102	0.37	31.67	73.54	105.21
11	Exeter	171	182	0.484	69	67	0.507	27.53	71.65	99.18
24	Hartlepool	139	198	0.412	44	79	0.358	27.27	65.84	93.11
2	Luton	163	181	0.474	64	73	0.467	29.68	84.93	114.61
18	Mansfield	177	173	0.506	66	67	0.496	21.22	71.64	92.85
10	Morecambe	141	210	0.402	58	82	0.414	31.05	79.28	110.32
8	Newport County	181	141	0.562	64	60	0.516	31.26	73.32	104.58
15	Northampton	173	155	0.527	77	61	0.558	32.47	62.3	94.77
19	Oxford	171	149	0.535	63	57	0.525	28.57	59.64	88.21
6	Plymouth	178	170	0.511	62	58	0.517	29.02	84.49	113.51
9	Portsmouth	155	176	0.468	56	69	0.448	32.13	76.81	108.94
3	Shrewsbury	206	121	0.63	94	47	0.667	26.59	74.46	101.04
7	Southend	191	145	0.569	74	63	0.54	21.62	77.77	99.39
16	Stevenage	137	161	0.46	53	66	0.445	39.63	63.62	103.25
23	Tranmere	146	128	0.533	58	57	0.505	25.85	61.4	87.25
1	Wycombe	158	124	0.56	64	43	0.598	35.92	72.1	108.01
20	York	204	183	0.527	77	77	0.5	18.18	74.03	92.21

League One Week 16

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Bristol City	16	10	6	0	33	17	16	36
2	Preston	15	9	4	2	28	16	12	31
3	Milton Keynes Dons	14	8	3	3	29	16	13	27
4	Rochdale	15	8	2	5	29	15	14	26
5	Swindon	15	7	5	3	31	19	12	26
6	Notts County	15	7	5	3	22	14	8	26
7	Peterboro	16	8	2	6	25	19	6	26
8	Sheffield United	15	8	2	5	22	19	3	26
9	Oldham	16	6	7	3	23	18	5	25
10	Fleetwood Town	16	6	4	6	18	16	2	22
11	Chesterfield	16	5	5	6	23	24	-1	20
12	Barnsley	15	5	4	6	23	24	-1	19
13	Port Vale	16	5	4	7	22	24	-2	19
14	Bradford	16	5	4	7	20	22	-2	19
15	Crawley Town	16	5	4	7	15	25	-10	19
16	Walsall	16	4	6	6	14	16	-2	18
17	Doncaster	14	5	3	6	14	21	-7	18
18	Colchester	16	4	5	7	22	24	-2	17
19	Coventry	16	4	5	7	20	27	-7	17
20	Leyton Orient	16	3	7	6	17	22	-5	16
21	Scunthorpe	16	4	3	9	19	30	-11	15
22	Gillingham	16	3	5	8	14	22	-8	14
23	Yeovil	16	3	5	8	12	26	-14	14
24	Crewe	16	4	2	10	13	32	-19	14

Position	Team	Played	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
12	Barnsley	15	165	183	0.474	67	87	0.435	34.33	72.41	106.74
14	Bradford	16	173	181	0.489	75	71	0.514	26.67	69.01	95.68
1	Bristol City	16	199	162	0.551	77	62	0.554	42.85	72.59	115.45
11	Chesterfield	16	193	164	0.541	79	74	0.516	29.12	67.57	96.69
18	Colchester	16	211	188	0.529	83	79	0.512	26.5	69.62	96.12
19	Coventry	16	153	136	0.529	64	62	0.508	31.26	56.45	87.71
15	Crawley Town	16	147	255	0.366	51	93	0.354	29.41	73.12	102.53
24	Crewe	16	121	220	0.355	67	96	0.411	19.41	66.67	86.08
17	Doncaster	14	145	170	0.46	56	71	0.441	24.99	70.41	95.41
10	Fleetwood Town	16	197	193	0.505	88	64	0.579	20.46	74.99	95.45
22	Gillingham	16	139	229	0.378	55	83	0.399	25.45	73.49	98.93
20	Leyton Orient	16	160	167	0.489	63	68	0.481	26.98	67.66	94.64
3	Milton Keynes Dons	14	193	126	0.605	83	58	0.589	34.92	72.41	107.34
6	Notts County	15	146	220	0.399	63	85	0.426	34.93	83.53	118.47
9	Oldham	16	177	131	0.575	71	52	0.577	32.4	65.39	97.8
7	Peterboro	16	204	166	0.551	79	69	0.534	31.64	72.48	104.12
13	Port Vale	16	195	195	0.5	77	77	0.5	28.56	68.84	97.4
2	Preston	15	219	136	0.617	78	48	0.619	35.89	66.68	102.57
4	Rochdale	15	177	164	0.519	75	63	0.544	38.67	76.18	114.85
21	Scunthorpe	16	153	195	0.44	71	84	0.458	26.76	64.3	91.06
8	Sheffield United	15	179	155	0.536	68	64	0.515	32.36	70.3	102.66
5	Swindon	15	174	121	0.59	83	58	0.589	37.35	67.25	104.6
16	Walsall	16	184	147	0.556	61	64	0.488	22.95	75.01	97.96
23	Yeovil	16	164	164	0.5	64	66	0.492	18.75	60.6	79.35

Championship Week 15: Bournemouth soar, Forest slide, Lee Clark's awfulness

So it's been a hectic few weeks in the Championship (and for me) with quite a few changes at the top end and just two notable ones at the bottom end.
Looking at the top we see Watford now top three points clear of Bournemouth, Middlesbrough and Wolves.
The biggest surprise there is obviously the south coast team, but as we'll see in a bit, the Cherries deserve the lofty perch.

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Watford	15	8	5	2	29	16	13	29
2	Bournemouth	15	8	3	4	31	16	15	27
3	Middlesbrough	15	8	3	4	22	12	10	27
4	Wolves	15	7	6	2	21	15	6	27
5	Derby	15	7	5	3	25	14	11	26
6	Norwich	15	7	5	3	24	13	11	26
7	Blackburn	15	7	4	4	24	21	3	25
8	Ipswich	15	6	6	3	22	16	6	24
9	Charlton	15	5	8	2	17	16	1	23
10	Nott'm Forest	15	5	7	3	23	19	4	22
11	Cardiff	15	6	4	5	21	18	3	22
12	Brentford	15	6	4	5	18	20	-2	22
13	Sheffield Weds	15	4	8	3	12	12	0	20
14	Huddersfield	15	5	5	5	22	25	-3	20
15	Reading	15	5	3	7	19	26	-7	18
16	Millwall	15	4	5	6	15	19	-4	17
17	Rotherham	15	4	5	6	15	21	-6	17
18	Wigan	15	3	7	5	17	18	-1	16
19	Leeds	15	4	4	7	15	21	-6	16
20	Fulham	15	4	3	8	22	28	-6	15
21	Brighton	15	2	7	6	15	19	-4	13
22	Birmingham	15	2	6	7	12	28	-16	12
23	Bolton	15	3	2	10	14	26	-12	11
24	Blackpool	15	1	3	11	8	24	-16	6

Cherry picking stats

I've watched a few Bournemouth games of late and have to say that I've really enjoyed them - something relayed by their stats.
The Cherries are sixth in total shots taken and third in shots on target. Combine that with a very solid defensive record and their underlying stats are really good - fourth in total shot share (Corsi/TSR) and an even more impressive third in shots on target share with more than 60% on average.
And this has been a season-long trend - SoT share has never been below 56%, while since week three the overall shot share has remained above 50%.

Week 10 was their most recent low point of the season so far when they hit 15th place - by no coincidence this was when they had a PDO of just 92.86.
Since then that has regressed back up and now sits above average at 107.88. But even as and when Bournemouth's PDO drops back a little, it's still very easy to see Eddie Howe's side challenging for promotion.

Position	Team	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR
22	Birmingham	200	263	0.432
7	Blackburn	245	215	0.533
24	Blackpool	168	229	0.423
23	Bolton	194	244	0.443
2	Bournemouth	229	185	0.553
12	Brentford	189	220	0.462
21	Brighton	243	163	0.598
11	Cardiff	173	228	0.431
9	Charlton	154	227	0.404
5	Derby	208	197	0.514
20	Fulham	194	206	0.485
14	Huddersfield	212	217	0.494
8	Ipswich	202	218	0.481
19	Leeds	147	245	0.375
3	Middlesbrough	238	150	0.613
16	Millwall	207	177	0.539
6	Norwich	268	147	0.646
10	Nott'm Forest	208	193	0.519
15	Reading	188	202	0.482
17	Rotherham	215	220	0.494
13	Sheffield Weds	196	178	0.524
1	Watford	213	231	0.48
18	Wigan	189	169	0.528
4	Wolves	232	188	0.553

Forest's autumn fall

Taking the reverse path to Bournemouth has been Nottingham Forest.
I mentioned a few weeks back that Forest's position atop the division looked rather fragile and so it is proving to be.
Forest are doing this PDO cold turkey in one long hard dose.
From being joint top at week 11 with a PDO of 122.26, Forest are now tenth, having picked up just one point in four games with a PDO of 108.31.
So there's still a little way to go potentially for Stuart Pearce's side.

Position	Team	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share
22	Birmingham	54	90	0.375
7	Blackburn	83	70	0.542
24	Blackpool	48	69	0.41
23	Bolton	60	86	0.411
2	Bournemouth	85	56	0.603
12	Brentford	68	71	0.489
21	Brighton	62	48	0.564
11	Cardiff	57	54	0.514
9	Charlton	46	65	0.415
5	Derby	71	71	0.5
20	Fulham	68	65	0.511
14	Huddersfield	78	72	0.52
8	Ipswich	63	64	0.496
19	Leeds	43	81	0.347
3	Middlesbrough	68	39	0.636
16	Millwall	63	58	0.521
6	Norwich	81	48	0.628
10	Nott'm Forest	62	66	0.484
15	Reading	55	64	0.462
17	Rotherham	68	67	0.504
13	Sheffield Weds	51	51	0.5
1	Watford	76	64	0.543
18	Wigan	53	59	0.473
4	Wolves	71	56	0.559

More worryingly though, Forest's total shot share has barely hovered above 50% and the shots on target share has actually dipped to below 50% and now sits at just 48%.
Maintain those numbers and Forest's promotion hopes will likely be extinct.
I've not watched much of Forest this season, so it would be interesting to know if this hard patch has seen Pearce change his tactics and hence the drop in shot shares.
If not, then perhaps he needs to. Or perhaps it is something more simple such as coming across a tough part of the fixture list.

Position	Team	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
22	Birmingham	22.23	68.88	91.11
7	Blackburn	28.92	69.99	98.91
24	Blackpool	16.67	65.22	81.89
23	Bolton	23.34	69.78	93.11
2	Bournemouth	36.46	71.42	107.88
12	Brentford	26.47	71.84	98.3
21	Brighton	24.2	60.43	84.63
11	Cardiff	36.85	66.66	103.51
9	Charlton	36.94	75.38	112.32
5	Derby	35.21	80.28	115.48
20	Fulham	32.36	56.91	89.27
14	Huddersfield	28.21	65.29	93.5
8	Ipswich	34.91	75	109.91
19	Leeds	34.89	74.07	108.95
3	Middlesbrough	32.35	69.23	101.58
16	Millwall	23.81	67.24	91.06
6	Norwich	29.63	72.91	102.54
10	Nott'm Forest	37.08	71.22	108.31
15	Reading	34.55	59.38	93.93
17	Rotherham	22.06	68.66	90.72
13	Sheffield Weds	23.52	76.48	100
1	Watford	38.16	75	113.16
18	Wigan	32.08	69.5	101.58
4	Wolves	29.57	73.21	102.78

Lee Clark... just wow 

Finally - Birmingham.
I'm frankly amazed Lee Clark lasted as long as he did - it's shocking how much time a last day last minute escape can buy you. It took, of course, a PDO dip to get him sacked, but a PDO boost saved him earlier this season too.
Yes, we are still dealing in small sample sizes, but last season's statistal poor showing (and near-relegation scare) should have been ample warning.
To put the full horror of Clark's team into persepective - Birmingham has not had a corsi/TSR score of more than 46% (46.4% to be exact) all season and the shots on target performance is even worse.
The high point here is 41.7% - a full TWO THIRDS of the season has been spent with a shots on target share of LESS than 40%.
It really is horrific.
Yes, it's very apparent that there are other (bigger) problems at Birmingham, but unless Gary Rowett can really improve things (or they get a massive PDO boost) then Blues will be getting relegated.

Position	Team	Corsi/TSR	Shots on target share	PDO
22	Birmingham	0.432	0.375	91.11
7	Blackburn	0.533	0.542	98.91
24	Blackpool	0.423	0.41	81.89
23	Bolton	0.443	0.411	93.11
2	Bournemouth	0.553	0.603	107.88
12	Brentford	0.462	0.489	98.3
21	Brighton	0.598	0.564	84.63
11	Cardiff	0.431	0.514	103.51
9	Charlton	0.404	0.415	112.32
5	Derby	0.514	0.5	115.48
20	Fulham	0.485	0.511	89.27
14	Huddersfield	0.494	0.52	93.5
8	Ipswich	0.481	0.496	109.91
19	Leeds	0.375	0.347	108.95
3	Middlesbrough	0.613	0.636	101.58
16	Millwall	0.539	0.521	91.06
6	Norwich	0.646	0.628	102.54
10	Nott'm Forest	0.519	0.484	108.31
15	Reading	0.482	0.462	93.93
17	Rotherham	0.494	0.504	90.72
13	Sheffield Weds	0.524	0.5	100
1	Watford	0.48	0.543	113.16
18	Wigan	0.528	0.473	101.58
4	Wolves	0.553	0.559	102.78

PS - Poor Blackpool (again).
Having the aforementioned Lee Clark thrust upon you may be too much for one fan base to take.

Blackpool started off the first seven games with reasonable (given their position) shot share and shots on target share numbers - c 48% and 44% respectively.
But since then it's been all downhill.


PPS - I really hope Brighton's god-awful PDO (luck, variance, however you wish to describe it) turns soon.
The underlying numbers are just too good to ignore or all be down to score effects.
The Seagulls are still up at around 60% of all shots and have just started to dip slightly with shots on target share, but still boast a heafty 56.4% share there.
Saturday night's game may have summed up their season so far - competing hard going toe-to-toe with an aggressive attacking team and then one stupid error giving up a penalty, and thus the losing goal.
Credit to Brighton's fans and ownership for sticking by Hyypia - I hope their loyalty is paid back by the footballing gods soon.